| http://www.unipv.it/compmech/weekly_compmech_news |
     |
|
Computational Mechanics &
Advanced Materials Group
|
|
| CompMech News - July 17, 2020 | |
|
|
Modeling the spatiotemporal spread of COVID-19 with a computational mechanics approach Researchers at in the CompMech group, lead by our postdoc Alex Viguerie, have worked over the past months to develop a model of spatiotemporal spread of COVID19 using concepts from computational mechanics to help identify the pattern of contagion in both space and time. 
Fig. 1 The model simulation for Lombardy; we see the outbreak beginning in Codogno and Cremona before reaching the major urban areas of Brescia, Bergamo, and Milano. This has been an international effort also involving researchers from RWTH Aachen Group, Emory University and the ODEN institute of the University of Texas at Austin. Early results from this effort have been recently published in the journal Applied Mathematics Letters and can be viewed here. 
Fig. 2 The model works by dividing the population into different groups based on diseased status. The work both accurately models the spread of COVID19 in the Italian region of Lombardy, as well as evaluating several different reopening scenarios and the potential impacts. 
Fig. 3 Based on data observed since, it seems that the reopening has been in line with our optimistic projections. |
| Dipartimento di Ingegneria Civile e Architettura dell'Università degli Studi di Pavia |
How to reach us |
| Address: via Ferrata 3, 27100 Pavia, Italy | Cookie Policy UniPV |
| Secretariat: +39-0382-985450 Fax: +39-0382-528422 |